Monthly Archives: March 2012

Doom and gloom

What does the word gloom mean anyways. Sounds like fun to me. Gloom sounds like glow or glee. Anyways The stock market went bunji jumping this week. I didn’t buy on Monday as the’re was no good news. I didn’t buy on Tuesday because that wasn’t any better. I bought on Wednesday and by evening I was doing well. On Thursday I was kicking myself. Now today, Friday I am still kicking myself. I decided to buy on Wednesday while the two financial heads of the whole country were in a rare occasion together testifying before congress, causing everyone to run for them there hills. I failed to keep up to date on current events. If I knew those two were going to be speaking I would have waited until Thursday or even next week.

Other than Heckle and Jekyl speaking before Congress, the writers at Bloomberg used their influence to cloud men’s minds. One hour they said the housing market is down. Then the housing market eh, not so bad. Then its terrible. Then is great. I couldn’t make heads or tails of it. Bloomberg has to do better as one of the favored sources for financial news.

At the end of the day, I have no one to blame. I should have known Geitner and Bernanke would be speaking. I stepped out of my energy comfort zone this week and played with: CHLN, IOT, PEIX, ROIAK, VVTV. A mix of advertising, energy and housing(in China). Next week if things turn around I have a strong interest in GLGL and FCEL. The former is a producer of a natural sweetener that diabetics can use, the latter a Connecticut maker of fuel cells that run on gas(tre cool).

There is still some lucrative news. Israel has determined they can strike Iran without much blowback. I paid $4.05 for gas yesterday so I will probably revisit my domestic oil drilling companies WRES, GBR and PSTR. With sanctions getting tighter and the dogs of war rabidly foaming at the mouth, domestic fuel producers will get a lot of interest. See you at the crap table.

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It’s Alive!

My Frankenstien masterpiece of a strategy actually went as planned. The universe has aligned and all is well. Made a bit on BPOP, and just broke even on PEIX. Oil is rallying and with that ethanol, the petroleum additive. Didn’t expect a rebound it this soon, but I;m not complaining. All the hubub about Iran is forgotten. NetanYoohoo went back to making chocolate milk, or whatever he does and were now distracted by the other war, the “good war” that recently ended.
Now I must analyze the headlines and determine a pick for Monday/Tuesday. Tuesday seems a better day to get an idea of how things will be going for the rest of the week. The relative inactivity of the stock market during the weekend gives investors a Monday morning hangover of sorts. They need a extra day just to get their bearings together. Sunday/Monday make some picks. Tuesday make some acquisitions. If this go well out by Thursday/Friday. Thats relatively a long time compared to day traders but I an still learning. The Izombies got their fix this Friday so I expect sellers of I-related apps. services and products to make some revenue this week. Now to determine who those entities are.

I can’t complain.

I can complain about a loss but what difference will it make the money is gone. At the same time I made money to balance out the loss so why complain. A yin yang portfolio was my approach for this week with BPOP and PEIX. BPOP is what we know commonly as Banco Popular, which provides banking services in Puerto Rico and Dominican Republic. PEIX is a ethanol producer. Ethanol is used as a unleaded fuel additive and possibly in various manufacturing applications. Therefore every time you head to the pump your not only putting in petroleum distillate your also putting in ethanol. vehicles which accept “Flex Fuel” can accept higher concentrations of Ethanol than engines not similarly equipped.
Thanks for the science lesson. That was just to indicate that I have invested in finanacials while investing in energy. I bought BPOP at 1.96 and sold at $2.11. Only 30 minutes later it went up to $2.21. I wanted to kick myself but I was sitting down. Better safe than sorry though. In not so good news I bought PEIX at 1.14 and it dropped to 1.11, loosing 3 cents.
So now I’m stuck with PEIX until everyone gets scared. Which will probably not happen since Saudi Arabia has decide to increase crude output to compensate for the decreased access to Iranian oil. I will not bother to check Google maps, but I suspect Saudi Arabia is a little farther away than Iran. I expect prices of gas to still rise. The weather has been nice and consumers must have their products. They must get to the malls, they must go on dates, they must buy gas. If I was a smart man I would double my ownership of PEIX and hold to $1.20.

The black line indicates where $1.20 lies. So you can see from the chart this is a realistic expectation. I also expect the stock to go up as to fall below $1 is to be de-listed from Nasdaq. Not only embarrassing experience but one that can scare customers away and engage the stock in a freefall.
In the meantime I will be watching the news for the next hype. As a side note, the new Ipad will debut in 48hours. Today Apple stock went up $19 but I don’t care, as I don’t buy $600 shares. only $3 or less.

All quiet on the home front

I have been quiet for the past two days. I had a substantial rally on WRES & PSTR today, but sadly I decided to go against my beliefs and jump ship. The venture was profitable and I got very greedy causing me to loose some of that profit. Im still not into holding for a extended period of time. When I made a bumpercrop on GBR there was a gas scare. The following week no scare. I got in and out at the right time with GBR but jumped into PSTR & WRES at the wrong time. I have re-evaluated my strategy and relize I have to exercise more discipline. By more carefully monitoring what I will call Pop News I’m more likely to make a buck.
The free email accounts provided by Aol and Yahoo direct their customers to specific news articles. These articles then manifest thenselves into facebook. That then goes around the school, offices and so on. Additionally Bloomberg.com is a source for investors, and other news sites such as Yahoo and Aol. Another source would be Reuters and AP. Liberals are less inclined to be exchange friendly so liberal sites such as Mother Jones, Alternet, Politico, Huffington Post etc. don’t offer much financial advice, but they do give insight as to weather protesters might drive a stock down. I had that experience with PWR which is the company slated to run the pipeline for Keystone. I knew from experience that Republicans would endorse the pipeline ans Obama would in lock step capitulate to their demands. I didn’t take into account the protesters that surrounded the whitehouse. I also ignore the fact that this is an election year and though the president is weak his handlers want him to be re-elected. To achieve that his base(some of whom are protesters) must not be totally turned off(not like the have a choice anyway, in a 2 party system). As we can see. currently everything is leaning towards re-election. Job numbers are up, Greek banks are being bailed out, companies building overseas are being demonized(Apple), interest rates are low, the war in Iraq is over and the one in Afghanistan isn’t in the news. So, in this election year I expect the unexpected. It will go either 2 ways. Republicans will sabotage the market to make Obama look bad or Democrats will fudge the numbers to make him look good. The former will make a lot of people loose money this year allowing everyone to scoop up low priced stock until things recover, but who knows when we would recover from that. The latter will make a lot of people money this year and loose money the following year but that will stabilize within a quarter.
I doubt the republicans will sabotage the market, because they don’t want it that bad. Yes I said it. The republicans really don’t want to win this year. There is too much infighting and division. At this time of year it should be clear who the choice is. Other than them not wanting to win, Republicans will get what they want win or loose because Obama does not have the gumption.
To forecast what will happen will require not only monitoring consumer behavior but also monitoring the behaviour or Soros, the Kochs and all the other big name donors.
Now that I’m out of the market(until Monday) some pressure is off and I can get my head cleared and ready for Monday morning

No news is good news

OK, according to the papers, the stock market made a mini rebound today as a result of the 216,000 jobs created in February. What a bunk of crock.
If I could be in the editorial room of Bloomberg I would be rich because its either they are swaying the market with their stories or there just making up a reason why its behaving how it is.
The mini rebound didn’t really help me. I’m till down. Just my luck Bloomberg wants to announce that gas prices are going DOWN!. If the market isn’t going to behave according to logic I don’t think I can do this much longer. Tonight is a full moon, tomorrow morning I can just imagine the headlines “Last night’s full moon caused the DOW to loose 100 points” Too bad NASA is not publicly traded yet.
I don’t know how to call it. Still I wont look a gift horse in the mouth. I need to ride that horse to break even or make a profit.
Browsing the net recently, I encountered Nasdaq’s social network. It;s pretty cool. You can review stocks, add friends and pictures, typical social networking.
After this week, I decided to not put an additional dime into the market. I will miss some opportunities but I will get over it. I’m going to let whats on the table ride. I feel like Harold Camping with the exception that I lost money during the scare.

In other news, I am interested in seeing how the new Windows 8 is going to affect the market. I would like to see a windows based tablet just to observe if there is any chance they could get a good amount of market share. Currently Apple is number one, Android number two and Windows is a non-factor. Anyways Windows will have to find a way to make it sexy. maybe pay off some celebs to be seen using the product.

Advisory Explicit Content

The way I feel right now makes me want to say many, many bad words that children should not read. I will do my best as I believe using expletives is proof of a limited vocabulary.
Today is March 6 2012. The other day O told someone “beware the ides of march.” Its more like bewared the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and almost every day of March. The market is looking bad right now. Not even NetanYoohoo could help my stocks. Its like falling off your bike and falling with it instead of standing up and letting it crash. I’m getting concerned.
A few months ago I saw Mr. Gerald Celente on Russian Television and he was warning that the stock market is going down down down. Months later he was reminiscent of Harold Camping. Basically a joke. He wasn’t wrong, his timing was just a little off-but isn’t that the case with all false prophets. Anyways, another guy was on Bloomberg TV saying the…..I forget…anywanys some index/exchange…whatever was going to fall by 4000 points. The host of the TV show looked at the guy as if he was just told aliens had landed. The host seemed as if he wanted to tell the forecaster he was coo-coo.
I refuse to be caught up by theses fear mongers. Celente invests heavily in gold so he likes to scare the heard towards buying it. The other forecaster just wants us to dump our stock so he can clean up. These guys always have an agenda, but can you blame them. They understand that fear is a great motivator and thats all they spew. These market forecasters will always speak in favor of their investment interests not necessarily yours. If you want to use their information, don’t go by what they say go by what they buy. See how I used the words by and buy,cool right.
Anyways, tomorrow is another day. Hey, I think I’m brave but I haven’t looked fear in the face. The rest of the week will separate the men from the mice.
One of my holdings WRES released their quarterly report today and the stock lost about $0.25. Thats a lot for a $4 stock. I read through the report and didn’t find any bad news. Revenues were up, there is a plan for growth. Revenue is up and the increased gas prices contributed to that. Everyone scrambled when they heard the S&P fell. Butterfly effect came back to bite me in the butterfly.

Oh, Me of little faith

I have been really quiet the past few days. Lost a lot of money. My forcasting seems flawed right now. I’ll be the first to turn tail on my own strategy, not! I’m still in a holding pattern. This morning I got some lucrative news. Benyamin NetanYooohoo is coming to town to give the US president his orders on how to proceed regarding Iran. Days before the president made a speech to a zi0nis7 organization, assuring them that hes not a wimp when it comes to war, only a wimp for their special interest(s). So I expect all my domestic petroleum and natural gas stocks to go up again, after a disappointing week.

Additionally CNN Money released an article reflecting my current investment strategy. See the article here: http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2012/markets/1203/gallery.oil-gas-investments/index.html

Though my stock picks are not popular brand names, they are cheap, so investors will find them. I expect Mr. NetanYoohoo to drum up support for killing people and the president will  be “in lockstep” with whatever he is told to do. During that time I hope to buy some additional domestic oil stocks and cash out with at least a 20% return. I only wanted to hold the shares for a week, but Ben Bernanke had other plans, and caused them to tank. So I’ll just have to wait out the warmongers’ posturing.

Its funny, last week one guy named Ben made me loose money and this week a guy named Ben is going to make me money. The balance is restored.

In other news the government is not going to only make the foreclosure process easier its going to give a financial hand to the bulk property buyers. You know, the guys who fix the prices, so that regular folks cant afford housing. So I expect like I mention before a rebound in the financials. The will provide these bulk buyers with the buying power while people who want to buy a house will be taking out bigger loans. These rundown abandoned and cheap houses will need repair so expect a raise in home depot, lowes and ace hardware. Those shares maybe pricey so its best to find a supplier’s stock. Best if the supplier provides good for all three companies. This winter has been extra nice, so winter supplies sales were probably poor. Lets say maybe a %5 at least, jump in the value of those companies between today and the 1st day of spring, better yet, by April 15th.

And the band played on

I think it was a song reference or some kind of reference from the Titanic. Either way you get the drift. Though the DOW and the value of gold fell yesterday(Feb 29th 2012) today things bounced back. Just like the band I stuck it in there and went down with the ship. That was yesterday. Today things rebounded somewhat. This just proves my thoery of riding the wave in the bad time. Fortunately people ignored Ben Bernanke’s rantings and acknowledged him as the groundhog he is. soon enough he will go back to whatever he does during the day, like play golf or meticulously trim his Freud-style beard, who knows.

If tends continue PSTR, WRES and LOAN will regain the glory of last week. I originally intended to hold them for 4 days but I wasnt paying enough attention to the news. I didn’t see Ben coming, didn’t hear any announcements that a hearing was scheduled. He doesn’t deserve all the blame, PSTR and WRES were wobbling a little before he spoke. Too many celebrities and public figures passed away this week, overshadowing the cost of gas. So the panic diminished and  there is a collective mourning going on now, which is understandable. It makes you consider your own mortality and that of your loved ones. Soon spending will resume, and record companies will be profiting form the royalties and licensing of artists they had severed ties with years ago. I went off on a tangent.

The Fed chairman in my opinion had good news. Though he did not announce another QE, I didn’t hear of an expected raise in interest rates. So now money is still cheap. Considering the idiom that money makes money its still prime time to make money using cheap money. What more do you want? Low interest rates should be good enough for everyone.

The only thing that may cause some short term disturbance are  the depressed Wall Street peoples whose bonuses were diminished this year. They might not be so risky now that they don’t have that bonus to rely on for that planned  trip or home improvement. I don’t want sad investors out there. The happier they are the more risks they take and the more responsive they are to the butterfly effect of the consumer flapping its wings.  I want to tell them “dont worry about a thing…every little things gonna be alright,” just ride the wave.

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Petit doomsday

Today the Federal Reserve chairman opened his mouth and threw a fly in the ointment. Come on, even gold lost value. Gold is the doomsday, fear-mongers’ favorite thing to buy. The more people are scared the more money they make on gold. I cant afford gold shares so I’m more of a gas shortage fear-monger. Even though the CIA has said Iran is not developing nuclear weapons, the media keeps saying that they are. Who listens to politicians anyway, unless they’ve been caught in some kinda scandal. I digress.

My picks earlier this week all flopped, I lost a good hunk a change but, I expect fear of Iran and the heightening of travel to bring me to where I want to be. I learned a lot this week. Gained some gray hairs, but I’m sticking to my guns and riding the wave. I’m down now, but tomorrow is another day.

As I said yesterday housing is going to rebound. Not for the regular guy but for the banks, developers and property managers. There was an article on MSN condemning Zillow.com. I see that as counter intelligence  to discourage the regualr guy from grabbing up the cheap houses on the market. There’s nothing wring with Zillow or Trulia, but someone got paid to say so, and of course the comment trolls and mercenaries followed in kind. LOAN lost $0.03 since my suggestion. PSTR and WRES both involved in crude and NG exploration fell almost $0.25 each. So I’m riding the wave until the news of high gas prices comes back around. Misery loves company so though I am disappointed in my pics, I wasn’t the only one who got soaked. Most people were too distracted by the Oscars this week and whatever else was going on TMZ/Extra to be afraid of gas prices.

I’m going to see if this video from Bloomberg will embed. If it does see below……………didn’t work so just clack the link below.

http://bloom.bg/zdOlcO#ooid=huY3VtMzppbeKWhQRafFRiJnrU0xB-e2